Alaves vs Real Madrid prediction, H2H and probable lineups - 14 December 2025
One of the fixtures of La Liga's Matchday 16 will take place on Sunday at the "Campo de Fútbol de Mendizorrotza" in Vitoria-Gasteiz, where local side Alaves will host Real Madrid. Here’s a betting tip for this clash with promising odds for success.
Match preview
Alaves approach the game in high spirits, having won their last two matches, including a crucial victory over Real Sociedad. Over the past five La Liga rounds, the "Blue and Whites" have claimed three wins and shown clear improvement in their attacking play.
The hosts boast a solid home record, suffering just two defeats in eight matches on their own turf. However, facing the giants has always been tough for Alaves—they’ve lost their last seven head-to-heads with Real and haven’t beaten them at home since 2018.
The Madrid side are on shaky ground after back-to-back defeats—against Celta in La Liga and Manchester City in the Champions League. This patchy form is piling pressure on Xabi Alonso, as Real have managed just one league win in their last five outings and now trail Barcelona by four points in the standings.
Even so, the team has shown this season they know how to bounce back: a convincing 3-0 win in Bilbao is proof of that. Los Blancos have the best away record in La Liga, and their trip to Vitoria is a prime opportunity to get back to winning ways.
Probable lineups
- Alaves: Sivera; Otto, Tenaglia, Pacheco, Parada; Guevara; Kalebe, Ibáñez, Suárez, Rebbach; Boyé
- Real Madrid: Courtois; Valverde, Rüdiger, Huijsen, Asensio; Güler, Tchouaméni, Ceballos; Bellingham; Rodrygo, Vinícius
Match facts and head-to-head
- Real have won their last 7 matches against Alaves.
- Alaves' last home victory over Real was in October 2018.
- Real have scored at least two goals in 6 of their last 7 meetings with Alaves.
Prediction
Alaves are unlikely to abandon their confident home style, but the quality and motivation of Real after two slip-ups could prove decisive. The visitors know how to get results in Vitoria and will be looking to bounce back. Our prediction: Real Madrid to win at odds of 1.75.
