Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano prediction, H2H and probable lineups - March 29, 2025
One of the matches of the 29th round of the Spanish Championship will be played on Saturday at the "Mendizorrotza" stadium, where local Alaves will host Rayo Vallecano. I suggest betting on goals in this match with a good coefficient.
Match Preview
The Basques have put together a three-match unbeaten run in La Liga. During this stretch, they secured a narrow victory over Villarreal (1-0) at home and drew away matches with Mallorca (1-1) and Las Palmas (2-2). However, this success over the Valencians remains their only win in the last eight rounds of the championship, which also included four draws and three losses.
The team is currently staying out of the relegation zone but is ahead of their closest competitor among the outsiders only due to additional indicators. The Basques show one of the worst home results in La Liga, ranking only 18th in points secured. Moreover, matches at "Mendizorrotza" are characterized by low scoring – an average of only 1.85 goals per match.
The Madrid team has been unable to secure a victory in the championship for five consecutive rounds. During this period, the team lost three times by a narrow margin and also drew at home with Sevilla (1-1) and Real Sociedad (2-2).
This unsuccessful series has dropped the club to ninth place in the standings, and the gap from the European competition zone has increased to seven points. Rayo Vallecano's away matches are also lacking in goals – an average of only 1.65 goals per game. This, by the way, is the worst indicator among all La Liga teams this season.
Probable Lineups
- Alaves: Adrian Rodriguez– Abdel Abqar, Manu Sanchez, Nahuel Tenaglia, Santiago Mourino – Ander Guevara, Joan Jordan, Carles Alena – Carlos Vicente, Carlos Martin, Toni Martinez
- Rayo Vallecano: Augusto Batalla – Florian Lejeune, Andrei Ratiu, Pep Chavarria, Aridan Hernandez – Pathé Ciss, Pedro Diaz – Alvaro Garcia, Jorge de Frutos, Oscar Trejo – Sergi Guardiola
Match Facts and Head-to-Head
- In the first round, Rayo Vallecano won at home with a score of 1-0
- The "Under 2.5 goals" bet has played out in the last six matches between these teams
- The "Both teams to score" bet has not played in the last six matches
Prediction
Bookmakers favor the hosts and offer odds of 2.33 for an Alaves victory. Considering the statistics, we believe it's worth taking "Under 2.0 goals" with a coefficient of 1.80.
