Al-Akhdood vs Al-Nassr prediction, H2H and probable lineups - 12 May 2025
Al Akhdoud
One of the fixtures of the 31st round of the Saudi Pro League will be played on Monday in Najran, where the local side Al-Akhdood hosts Al-Nassr. I'm backing a bet on goals in this clash with an appealing odds value.
Match preview
Al-Akhdood are enduring a tough campaign in the current Saudi Pro League season. They currently sit 17th in the table with just 28 points from 30 matches. Seven wins, seven draws, and a hefty sixteen defeats sum up their league performance. Their defensive line has struggled, conceding 43 goals, while their attack has managed only 29.
Home form has been particularly problematic—just two wins, four draws, and nine losses. Clearly, these are not the numbers to inspire confidence among supporters. Recent games haven’t brought stability either: in their last five matches, Al-Akhdood have recorded two wins and two draws, but their home defeat to Al-Wehda (1-2) in the previous round once again highlighted their defensive issues.
Al-Nassr, meanwhile, have shown consistent form throughout the season, allowing them to hold fourth place in the table with 60 points. They've racked up 18 wins, 6 draws, and only 6 defeats, with their attacking force firing on all cylinders—64 goals scored. Away games have been a real strength: 10 wins and just 3 losses underline their confidence on the road.
However, recent results have raised some concerns—two defeats in their last five outings suggest the need to find extra reserves. Head coach Stefano Pioli encourages his players to launch rapid attacks and make smart use of space, but recent results, including a home loss to Al-Ittihad (2-3), show that the team is still searching for consistency.
Probable lineups
- Al-Akhdood: Vitor E. (GK), Khamis A., Al-Rubaie S. (C), Lowe D., Al-Qaidi M., Pedrosa J., Asiri N., Bassogog C., Musona N., Savio G., Pato
- Al-Nassr: Bento (GK), Al-Ghannam S., Al-Awjamy A., Simakan M., Boushal N., Al-Hassan A., Brozovic M., Yahya A., Mane S., Otavio, Ronaldo C. (C)
Match facts and head-to-head
- The teams have met three times in history, and Al-Nassr have won all encounters, scoring at least three goals each time
- The "Total over 2.5" bet has landed in all three of their meetings
- The "Both teams to score" option was successful in two out of those three matches
Prediction
Bookmakers favor the visitors in this one, offering odds around 1.47 for an Al-Nassr win. We believe the best value is in backing goals, so our pick is "Total over 2.5" at odds of 1.60.
