Ajax vs Telstar prediction, H2H - December 19, 2024
On Thursday, December 19, Ajax will host Telstar at home in the Round of 16 of the Dutch Cup. Here's my analysis and a betting tip for the individual total of one of the teams.
Ajax vs Telstar: Match facts and head-to-head
- Ajax and Telstar have had identical form in recent matches: two losses, one draw, and two wins each.
- Telstar has lost their last three away games, conceding three goals in each of their last two matches.
- Ajax has scored at least one goal in five consecutive matches.
- This season, Ajax has won 46% of their games while keeping clean sheets.
- Both teams have a high percentage of matches with over 1.5 goals scored: 82% for Ajax and 80% for Telstar.
- Ajax and Telstar frequently score in both halves: 43% for Ajax compared to 40% for Telstar.
- The teams have faced each other before, with Ajax winning 5-1 in 2022 and 4-3 in 2019.
Ajax vs Telstar: Match preview
Ajax has shown inconsistent results in recent games, with two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five matches. As a result, they have fallen slightly behind the Eredivisie leader but still hold second place. However, the situation remains tense. This will be Ajax's first match in this year's Dutch Cup, having been eliminated at this stage last season. It’s likely the team will be determined to progress further this time.
Telstar represents the second tier of Dutch football. They began their cup journey in the Round of 32, comfortably defeating their opponent 3-0. However, their recent form has also been underwhelming, with two losses, two wins, and a draw in their last five matches. Telstar has dropped to 11th in the league standings. To compete for promotion to the Eredivisie, they need to secure a top-eight finish and currently trail by four points. This might lead them to prioritize the league over the cup competition.
Projected lineups
- Ajax: Pasveer; Gaaei, Sutalo, Baas, Hato; Van den Boomen, Klaassen, Taylor; Berghuis, Brobbey, Traore
- Telstar: Koeman; Harder, Apau, Koswal, Bakker; Rossen, Offerhaus, Turfkrüger; El Kachati, Eddahchouri, Hamdaoui
Prediction
The favorite here is clear: a top-tier Eredivisie team against a mid-table second-division side. Ajax is likely to advance, especially given their disappointing cup run last season. My betting tip is an individual total of over 2.5 goals for the home team at odds of 1.66.
