Africa Cup of Nations: Can Malawi start their campaign with a win? Prediction for the qualifying match against South Sudan on September 25
On Friday, September 25, 2026, at 16:00 Kyiv time, Bingu National Stadium in Lilongwe, the capital of Malawi, will host the opening match of the group stage of the Africa Cup of Nations qualifying round, as Malawi face South Sudan.
Malawi head into this home clash as the favorites, relying on their greater experience on the international stage and a well-drilled squad. The “Flames” traditionally base their game on high intensity, physical battles in midfield and the active use of deliveries from the flanks. At home, Malawi look to play on the front foot, applying constant pressure to the visitors’ defensive shape and using set pieces as their primary weapon for breaking down compact defensive lines. The coaching staff will demand maximum concentration from the opening whistle to avoid any surprise slip-ups in front of their home fans.
South Sudan are an ambitious side gradually gaining experience and eager to make a statement. The visitors rely on strict defensive discipline, a compact low block and a cautious approach focused on disrupting the opposition’s combinations. In away matches, South Sudan are accustomed to sitting deep and playing as the second number, counting on their physical strength in duels and occasional rapid breaks powered by the pace of their attacking players. Against the more experienced opponents, the visitors will have to withstand serious pressure and minimize mistakes around their own penalty area.
The tactical picture in Lilongwe will predictably revolve around the hosts’ attacking play. Malawi will take control of possession and look to unsettle the opposition’s defensive wall through patient positional attacks. South Sudan will respond with intense, physical battles in midfield and reliable defensive cover. The individual quality of Malawi’s players, combined with the support from the stands, should help the hosts tip the balance in their favor.
Prediction
I expect Malawi to deliver a confident performance on home soil and beat their opponents. My prediction: Malawi to win at 1.65
