A shot at redemption after a recent sting for the favorite: prediction for Brazil (W) vs USA (W) - 10.06.2026
On Wednesday at the Castelao Arena in Fortaleza, the Brazil women's national team will take on the USA women's national team in an international friendly. But this is far from just an exhibition: just days ago, Brazil defeated the Americans 2-1, making this a golden opportunity for Emma Hayes' squad to hit back after that painful loss.
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Brazil: a team that no longer asks permission from the favorites
Brazil have been on a tear this June, coming into the match on a stellar run: Arthur Elias' team dismantled South Korea 5-1, hammered Zambia 6-1, edged Canada 1-0, and then took down the USA 2-1. It was the perfect response to painful home defeats in March against Mexico (0-1) and especially Venezuela (1-2). Clearly, the Brazilians quickly regained their aggression and confidence after that setback.
The main strength of this Brazil side is their directness and attacking speed. In their 4-3-3 setup, they don't always prioritize long spells of possession, but they break into open spaces with lightning speed and excel in transition. Beatriz Zaneratto is the focal point up front: she's netted twice in her last five appearances and remains the player who makes the penalty area a constant threat.
USA: possession remains, but control is no longer absolute
The USA have largely looked solid in 2026, winning seven out of nine matches, but June has brought a worrying dip. Emma Hayes' team beat Japan 2-1 and 3-0, then fell 0-1 to the Japanese, and afterward suffered that 1-2 defeat to Brazil - a real wake-up call for the favorites.
The Americans are still structurally strong: they complete more passes, exert heavy pressure down the flanks, and in their last five games have outperformed Brazil in passes, corners, and interceptions. But high pressing against this Brazil team has its risks: if the first wave of pressure fails, it leaves space behind for Brazilian forwards to exploit without hesitation. Trinity Rodman remains the USA's most dangerous attacking weapon, while Lily Yohannes is key for tempo and ball progression in midfield.
Match facts and head-to-head
- In their last encounter, Brazil defeated the USA 2-1, despite the Americans being the favorites.
- Brazil have won three of their last four meetings with the USA, scoring in every one of those matches.
- In recent matches, Brazil have beaten South Korea 5-1, Zambia 6-1, Canada 1-0, and the USA 2-1.
- Before losing to Brazil, the USA had beaten Japan twice—2-1 and 3-0—but then lost 0-1 in the rematch.
Prediction
The USA remain a team that dominates possession, passes with quality, and presses aggressively, but this fixture doesn't look favorable for them. Brazil have already shown they're not only able to withstand American pressure but also punish any gaps between the lines.
Repeating their victory won't be easy, especially since Hayes will surely adjust after the 1-2 defeat. But based on current form, head-to-head momentum, and playing style, Brazil have a strong chance of at least avoiding defeat. The optimal pick is a double chance bet on Brazil with a handicap, and the match could well turn out to be another high-scoring affair.
