A new era for Xavi and Klopp begins with a classic: Netherlands vs Germany prediction

Netherlands vs Germany prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
UEFA Nations League A (Round 1) 24 sep 2026, 14:45
Finished
1 : 1
International, Amsterdam, Johan Cruijff ArenA
Cody Gakpo
90' + 2
32'
Felix Nmecha

The opening-round UEFA Nations League clash between the Netherlands and Germany will take place on September 24 at the Johan Cruyff Arena in Amsterdam. The teams are competing in Group 2 of League A alongside Serbia and Greece, while the debuts of new head coaches — Xavi for the hosts and Jürgen Klopp for the visitors — add an extra layer of intrigue to the match.

Netherlands: rebuilding under Xavi amid serious personnel losses

The Netherlands are beginning a new cycle after being eliminated by Morocco on penalties in the round of 32 at the 2026 World Cup. At the same time, the team went unbeaten in normal time in all four of its matches at the tournament, while its last defeat in a competitive match after 90 minutes came in October 2024 — when the Dutch lost 0-1 to Germany.

Xavi intends to make the team’s style more attacking and possession-oriented, but he will have to begin without a whole group of key players. Doniell Malen, Justin Kluivert, Mats Wieffer, Matthijs de Ligt and Xavi Simons are unavailable due to injury, while Frenkie de Jong, Marten de Roon and Jerdy Schouten will also miss the camp; meanwhile, Memphis Depay and Wout Weghorst were not included in the new coach’s squad.

Germany: Klopp begins a rebuild and brings back the aggression

Germany are also undergoing a change of direction after a disappointing World Cup, where they were eliminated by Paraguay on penalties in the round of 32. Before that, the national team had failed to win either of its final two matches at the tournament, including a 1-2 defeat by Ecuador, so Klopp will need to quickly restore intensity and consistency.

The personnel situation is no easier: Florian Wirtz, Karim Adeyemi, Nick Woltemade, Aleksandar Pavlovic and Said El Mala will not face the Netherlands, while Leon Goretzka and Deniz Undav are out with injuries. Joshua Kimmich is expected to return to central midfield, while Kai Havertz remains the most likely option up front, supported by Jamal Musiala and the team’s pacey wide players.

Match facts and head-to-head record

  • The Netherlands have lost just once in Amsterdam since October 2023: 11 wins and four draws.
  • Germany have scored at least one goal in each of their last 13 international matches.
  • Germany are unbeaten against the Netherlands in their last four head-to-head meetings — two wins and two draws.

The coaches’ debuts could turn this into an open duel: Netherlands vs Germany prediction

Both national teams are entering the Nations League in the midst of a rebuild, making this match especially difficult to predict. The Netherlands are strong at home and will surely look to control possession more under Xavi, but the absence of several key midfielders could have a serious impact on their structure.

Under Klopp, Germany are likely to rely on a high tempo, pressing and quick transitions, while their run of scoring in 13 consecutive matches points to consistent attacking potential. At the same time, both teams have plenty of personnel issues, so a goal-filled contest and a draw look like a highly plausible scenario.

Prediction on game Total over 3.0
Odds: 1.73
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