Draw No Bet Predictions for Today

There are three possible results in football games. This is why wagering sports bets can sometimes seem like a stab in the dark. Bettors lose their stake regularly when unexpected ties occur. Draw no bet predictions are one realistic way to hedge your bets. You bet with numbers, not heart when making these wagers.

Mathematical analysis of football games can reveal trends in how teams play. Adding numbers to the process eliminates guesswork. Here we will show you how to use proper draw no bet prediction tips to gain an advantage over bookies.

What is Draw No Bet (DNB)?

Before you wager on a football game, it’s important to understand draw no bet meaning. When betting traditionally, punters have three outcomes: home win, draw, or away win. However, bookmakers remove the draw outcome from this pool for the dnb market. Bettors are left with two options – home win only or away win only. As you can guess, this makes betting simpler for beginners.

If your pick wins, you cash out your bet at the published odds. If not, you lose your stake. However, should the game result in a tie, your stake is returned to you by the bookie.

Our proprietary mathematical models/algorithms analyse these two outcomes (home win / away win) to create precise, objective predictions for dnbs. This removes the risk of a tie from the equation and hands bettors a bigger safety cushion.

Supporters will often choose the home draw no bet when betting on the home team. The wager protects your stake if the underdog scores a late equalizer. This makes the home tie wager ideal for a closely-matched derby. Conversely, an away draw no bet can be helpful when betting on a strong away team.

Draw no bet predictions minimise emotional betting and keep wagers simple and logical.

Our Mathematical Approach to DNB Predictions

Our prediction algorithm crunches numbers on vast quantities of football data. It’s all based purely on mathematics, so there’s zero human interference. Some of the things the model takes into account are team form, head-to-head statistics, goal records, home advantage and player stats. Using this data the system finds each team’s likelihood of winning and determines a draw no bet prediction from that.

Our model analyses goals scored as if they’re random events that occur at a mean average. From there, we can convert the averages into percentages (probabilities). Then the model determines each team’s attacking and defensive strength. It multiplies those values by the average number of league goals to find the goal expectancy; or what is the most likely amount of goals a team will score.

Lastly, our algo applies a decay factor to each game. New games have higher weight than games that occurred months ago. This allows the statistics to stay relevant and up to date. The decay factor also tracks expected goals(xG). Expected goals determine how good of chances teams have been creating. It can show whether a team’s winning streak was due to luck or if they truly deserved the wins.

This complex approach generates draw no bet tips that you can rely on.

Practical Examples of DNB Betting

Don’t just take our word for it. See for yourself with some practical examples of when to use DNB predictions and bets. Here’s an example of a match in the Saudi Pro League. Al Najma will be hosting Al Shabab and the stats heavily favour one side. As of matchday 33, Najma has won only 2 games out of 33 (they have 6 draws). That’s an average of 0.39 points per game. Not to mention they also concede an average of 2.3 goals per game.

Al Shabab has won 7 games and had 11 draws out of their 32 games played. Scoring 1.28 goals per game with a strong defence to back their attack. Star player for Al Shabab is Yannick Carrasco who leads the team with 17 goals. Based on the math, we’d pick Al Shabab in the DNB market.

Al Shabab is the superior team, but an away match makes a tie possible. The bettor wins if Al Shabab wins. If the game ends in a tie, the bookmaker refunds the stake. But if Al Najma pulls off a win, the stake is lost.

Another good example is the Copa Libertadores match between Cusco FC and Independiente Medellín. Cusco FC has had zero wins and three losses. Independiente Medellín has 3 wins and 3 draws from 7 games, and they score 1.14 goals per match. Since they're playing away, DNB is the perfect wager against a tie.

There's also Kabwe Warriors vs Zanaco in the Zambia Super League. Kabwe Warriors has 13 wins and 8 draws from 31 matches. On average, they score 0.87 goals and concede 0.71 goals.

Zanaco has 14 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses, with 0.91 goals per match. Since both teams have tight defenses, a tie is highly possible. Kabwe Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 69% of matches at home. So a home DNB is a good option. Remember, the bookmaker refunds the stake if the game ends in a tie.

The Key Advantages of Draw No Bet Market

DNB’s biggest selling point is its ability to decrease risk. By removing the draw, it insures a bettor’s stake against last-minute goals. Its mathematical formula is ideal for close games – matches with a predicted winner but potential for a tie. By using this market, you decrease the variance in wins and losses you would typically see in 1X2 markets.

Professional gamblers often use DNB predictions to insure their bankroll. If you follow our tips and use draw no bet predictions today you can expect highly consistent results across a league season when betting on strong teams.

Draw no bet market can also be used when rooting for the predicted loser. Should an underdog keep a favorite tied, the bettor simply receives a refund rather than a loss. The odds on DNB wagers are also typically higher than double chance odds. For that reason it’s also great middle ground for bettors who want safety but don’t want to sacrifice high payouts.

DNB can also be very useful in accumulator bets. If one of your selections results in a tie, that particular wager is removed from the accumulator. The remaining selections stay active, at new odds.

When Should You Use the DNB Strategy?

Derby games are perfect for this strategy. They tend to be chaotic and end in a tie more often than not. Rooting for a solid away team is another scenario. An away team can be in good form but match up against a very tough host. By betting DNB you’re protecting yourself as a bettor.

Teams that don’t score often are another big opportunity for the DNB. Teams that have great defense but lack attacking threat often win 1-0 games only to concede late goals.

As mentioned before, this market is great for use in accumulator bets.

Do not use DNB on heavy favourites. The odds of their winning straight up are very low already so the returns on a DNB wager aren’t that high either. Pair DNB bets with bankroll management. Finally, be sure to study the league’s draw stats before wagering. Stay away from leagues where teams tend to draw too frequently – you’ll be constantly getting refunds but never winning..

Finally, always compare your calculated odds to those offered by the bookie. If theirs are higher, you’ve got a value bet.

FAQ

What is Draw No Bet (DNB)?

Draw No Bet essentially removes the draw from football betting. Instead of betting on team 1 to win or team 2 to win, you simply wager on team 1 or team 2. If the game results in a tie, you’ll receive a refund of your stake from the bookie – you don’t lose your money.

Are the mathematical predictions 100% accurate?

No, nothing is 100% in football. There are too many random variables that a mathematical model can’t predict. Things like red cards, injuries and weather conditions can all impact the result of a football match. However, when used correctly, these predictions can help you identify value bets and allow you to win consistently in the long-run.

When should I use the DNB strategy?

Use the DNB market anytime you’re feeling uneasy about a potential draw result. This is ideal for derby matches, when backing a strong away team or when betting on low scoring defensive teams. Another great use for DNB tips are with multi-bets. They can protect your accumulator from being voided by a draw.