David Flower
Dailysports's expert
One of Sunday’s matches in the 23rd round of the Spanish Championship will take place at Mestalla Stadium, where Valencia will host Leganés. Here’s a betting suggestion focused on the number of goals with a good chance of success.
Match Preview
In the previous round, Valencia managed only their fourth victory of the current La Liga season. Playing at home, the team defeated Celta 2-1, extending their home winning streak to two consecutive matches. However, these joyful moments were overshadowed by a crushing 1-7 away defeat to Barcelona, which occurred between these successes.
Additionally, Valencia suffered a 0-5 loss to Barcelona in a cup match. Despite occasional successes, Valencia remains among the league’s bottom three teams. However, the gap from the 17th safety position has narrowed to four points, offering a faint glimmer of hope for a potential turnaround.
Leganés, on the other hand, is precariously close to the relegation zone, sitting just two points above it. Over their last nine league matches, Leganés secured only two wins, with three draws and four losses.
Among these successes, the team managed shocking 1-0 victories over giants like Barcelona and Atlético. In the last round, Leganés suffered a 0-1 home loss to Rayo Vallecano. Interestingly, Leganés appears more confident on the road due to their solid defensive play. In six of their last eight away matches, they avoided defeat, with one win and five draws.
Probable Lineups
- Valencia: Giorgi Mamardashvili – César Tárrega, José Luis Gayà, Dimitri Foulquier, Cristhian Mosquera – Enzo Barrenechea, Javi Guerra – Luis Rioja, Diego López, André Almeida – Hugo Duro
- Leganés: Marko Dmitrović – Matija Nastasić, Valentin Rosier, Javi Hernández Carrera, Altimira Adria, Renato Tapia – Iván Neyou, Seydouba Cissé, Juan Cruz, Dani Raba – Miguel de la Fuente
Match Facts and Head-to-Head
- Leganés’ scoring record remains low, with only 19 goals scored, which is better than just three other La Liga teams.
- In their last 14 away matches, Leganés lost only three times and conceded more than one goal in only three games.
- The first-leg match between these teams ended in a 0-0 draw.
- The “Total Under 2.5” bet has landed in their last five matches.
Prediction
Bookmakers favor Valencia in this match, with their victory priced at odds of 1.77. However, we suggest opting for “Total Under 2.0” at odds of 1.91 as the better choice for this game.
