Miguel Solomons
Dailysports's expert
In the 28th round of the Portuguese Championship, SC Farense will host Casa Pia on Monday, April 7. The match will kick off at 19:45 Central European Time. Below is our prediction for this encounter.
SC Farense vs Casa Pia: match facts and head-to-head
- Farense has not won in 13 consecutive matches.
- Casa Pia has lost their last four away matches.
- At home, Farense has suffered six straight defeats.
- Farense has the second-worst attack in the Primeira Liga, with only 19 goals scored.
- Casa Pia scores more than 1.5 goals in 80% of their matches this season, while Farense does so in 63%.
- Farense has won just 7% of their matches this season to nil, whereas Casa Pia has done so in 23%.
- The first meeting between the teams ended in a 1-1 draw. In the last five head-to-head matches, Casa Pia won three times and Farense once.
Farense vs Casa Pia: match preview
Farense is at the bottom of the Primeira Liga table. The team has collected only 17 points from 27 rounds, needing to make up a six-point deficit to avoid relegation. The team's form is disastrous: 13 matches without a win. Their home record is equally bleak — six consecutive defeats and eight matches without a win. The "Lions of Algarve" have significant attacking issues, having scored 19 goals in 27 rounds — the second-worst result in the league. Theoretically, there are still chances for salvation, with seven rounds remaining, but with such form and attacking potential, it will be extremely difficult.
Casa Pia finds itself in a more comfortable situation, sitting mid-table. After 27 rounds, they have 39 points and are in eighth place. The gap from European competition spots is 17 points with seven rounds to go. It's unlikely to be bridged, especially as the team has lost three and won two of their last five matches. Away from home, they have suffered four consecutive defeats. Their lead over the relegation zone is 16 points, effectively ensuring a calm end to the season without serious ambitions.
Probable lineups
- SC Farense: Velho; Pastor, Jorge, Falcão, Ribeiro, Poloni; Carlos, Neto, Menino; Lopes, Tomane
- Casa Pia: Sequeira; Goulart, Fonte, Chamba; Larrázabal, Kraev, Pablo, Lelo; Osundina, Cassiano, Souza
Prediction
Both teams are far from their best form, but Farense has a strong motivation to win. However, don't expect a goal fest: Casa Pia is unstable in away matches, and Farense has one of the worst attacks in the league. My prediction is a total match score of under 2.5 goals with odds of 1.53.
