



On April 21, 2025, a match of the 14th round of the Argentine Primera will take place at the Eva Perón Stadium in Junín, where Sarmiento Junín will face Platense. I believe that there won't be many goals in this match.
Sarmiento Junín
Sarmiento Junín is in 11th place in their group's standings, just one point away from the playoff zone. This leaves a very real chance to fight for the top 8 in the remaining three rounds. However, their current form leaves much to be desired: only one victory in the last seven matches. Nevertheless, the team has only lost twice in this stretch, often settling for draws.
A positive note could be their last round victory — they defeated Vélez Sarsfield 1-0 away. This result can boost their confidence as the championship nears its end.
Platense
Platense has shown consistency throughout the tournament — without sharp declines or peaks. With three rounds left in the group stage, the team is confidently moving towards its goal, and at this point, there is every reason to consider them a contender for the playoff stage.
Platense is in 6th place in the standings with 17 points. Until recently, the team had a streak of three consecutive victories, but it was interrupted away — a loss to Deportivo Riestra 0-1. For the upcoming match against Sarmiento, Platense arrives after a home meeting with one of the group leaders — Rosario Central, where they managed a 0-0 draw.
Probable lineups
- Sarmiento: Acosta, Vallejos, Roncaglia, Insaurralde, Godoy, Sur, Villalba, Jiménez, Go, Carabajal, Morales
- Platense: Kozzani, Saborido, Vázquez, Salomón, Silva, Mainero, Juárez, Picco, Taborda, Martínez, Lotti
Match facts and H2H
- Sarmiento shows good form at home — in the last nine home matches, the team has suffered only one defeat.
- Head-to-head encounters between Sarmiento and Platense are also tense and low-scoring. The last four matches ended with the same score of 1-0 — three times in favor of Platense and once Sarmiento claimed victory.
- In the last seven head-to-head meetings, the teams have shown low scoring: only one of these matches had a 'Total over 1.5' bet come through.
Prediction
Matches between Sarmiento and Platense traditionally unfold in a closed manner and do not delight with high scoring. An optimal bet choice seems to be under 2.0 total with odds of 1.48 — minimal risks with a high probability of success.