Luis Torres
Dailysports's expert
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On April 17, 2025, at 02:30 Central European Time, Santos will host Atletico Mineiro at their home stadium in the 4th round of the Brazilian Serie A championship. I suggest considering a bet on the total goals in this encounter.
Santos
Santos has yet to delight their fans with results in the national championship — the team started with two defeats against Vasco da Gama 1-2 and Fluminense 0-1, and also drew with Bahia 2-2. After three rounds, the club has only one point and is in 18th place in the Serie A standings.
Nevertheless, over a longer distance, the team doesn't look so hopeless. In the last five matches across all tournaments, Santos has two wins, one draw, and two losses. Notably, they have shown confident play at home — where they have a six-match unbeaten streak, including four wins and two draws.
Despite defensive issues — averaging 1.4 goals conceded per game in the last five matches — the team consistently creates chances at the opponent's goal. Santos has scored in four of their last five matches.
Atletico Mineiro
Atletico Mineiro, despite their struggles in the championship, appears somewhat more stable than their opponent. In their last league match, the team drew 2-2 with Vitoria, leaving them in 16th place with two points after three rounds. In previous Brazilian Serie A games, they drew 0-0 with Sao Paulo and lost to Gremio 2-1.
The team is going through a tight stretch of matches, including games in the Copa Sudamericana, where Atletico confidently defeated Deportivo Iquique 4-0 and drew with Cienciano 0-0. Away from home, they traditionally play more defensively, avoiding risks and controlling the pace of the game.
It is worth noting that Atletico Mineiro hasn't lost to Santos away in the last two matches, including the last one, which ended 0-0.
Probable lineups
Santos: Brazao, Escobar, Ivaldo, Gil, Godoy, Tasciano, Schmidt, Pituca, Rolheiser, Soares, Neymar
Atletico Mineiro: Everson, Arana, Alonso, Roman, Nathanael, Scarpa, Vera, Rubens, Cuello, Hulk, Roni
Interesting facts and head-to-head meetings
- Santos has won 3 of their last 4 home matches.
- Santos has not won in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- 8 of Santos' last 10 matches have ended with a total of over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams have scored in 4 of Santos' last 5 matches.
- Atletico Mineiro is unbeaten in their last 4 matches.
- 10 of Atletico Mineiro's last 11 away matches have ended with a total of under 2.5 goals.
- 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings between the teams have ended with a total of under 2.5 goals.
- Atletico Mineiro is unbeaten in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings against Santos.
Prediction for Santos vs Atletico Mineiro
Recent matches between these teams have been restrained: in three of the last four head-to-head meetings, the total did not exceed 2.5. Given Santos's poor form and Atletico Mineiro's pragmatic approach, a low-scoring scenario is logical to expect. Neither team has secured a win at the start of the championship, so they will act with extreme caution, avoiding unnecessary risks. My bet is on a total of under 2.5 goals with odds of 1.60.
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