David Flower
Dailysports's expert
In one of the fifth-round matches of the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers, Rwanda will host Libya in Kigali on Thursday. Here's a betting tip with good chances of success for this match.
Match Preview
In recent years, the Rwandan national team has not been able to deliver many memorable performances, but in the 2026 World Cup qualifiers, the "Wasps" have stepped up and are currently leading their group. After four matches, Rwanda has suffered only one defeat—against Benin away (0-1).
Rwanda has secured important wins, including a 2-0 home victory over South Africa and a 1-0 away win over Lesotho. In a group where three teams have seven points each, Rwanda sits on top thanks to a better goal difference. However, in the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers, Rwanda is in third place with five points, having secured just one win—against Benin (2-1).
Libya, in contrast, has accumulated seven points from four World Cup qualifying matches and currently holds second place in Group D, edging out Cape Verde on goal difference. However, their Africa Cup of Nations campaign has been far less successful. They only managed to draw 1-1 with Rwanda in the first round. After that, Libya lost away to Benin (1-2) and suffered two defeats to Nigeria (0-1 away and 0-3 at home). As a result, Libya is currently bottom of the group with just one point.
Probable Lineups
- Rwanda: Ntawari; Niyomugabo, Niyegena, Mucinzi, Ombolenga; Muhire, B. Bizimana, Mugisha; G. Mugisha, Kwizera, Nshuti
- Libya: Al Wuheshi, Bin Ali, Al Musrati, Artiba, Al Dhawi, Saad, Al Shremi, Al Badri, Shafshuf, Al Kulaib, Ekra
Match Facts and Head-to-Head
- Libya has won three of the last five encounters with Rwanda.
- Only one of the last five matches involving Rwanda has resulted in both teams scoring (BTTS).
- The "Total over 2.5 goals" bet has been successful in only one of the last five matches involving Libya.
Prediction
Libya has been underperforming in the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers, and bookmakers understandably have Rwanda as favorites for this match, with odds around 1.75 for a home win. Rwanda is unbeaten in its last five home matches, securing three victories, including a notable win over South Africa. Our prediction is a "Rwanda to Win" bet.
