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The 21st round of Serie A will open with Roma facing Genoa on Friday, January 17, at 20:45 CET. Here’s a detailed match analysis and a betting prediction for the winner.
Roma vs Genoa: Match Facts and H2H
- Roma are unbeaten in their last five matches, with three wins and two draws.
- Genoa are also on an unbeaten run, with two wins and a draw.
- Roma have scored in each of their last five matches.
- At home, Roma have won five consecutive games, two of which were clean sheets.
- Genoa are unbeaten in their last five away matches, with three wins and two draws.
- Roma score over 1.5 goals per match in 74% of their games.
- Both teams have nearly identical clean sheet percentages: Roma 22%, Genoa 23%.
- Their last head-to-head match ended in a 1-1 draw. In the previous five meetings, Roma won twice, Genoa once, and two matches ended in draws.
Match Preview
This season, Roma have already had three different coaches. Currently led by Italian specialist Claudio Ranieri, the team has started to show improvement and is picking up points. Roma are on a five-match unbeaten streak (three wins, two draws) and have climbed to 10th place in the table with 24 points. They trail the European qualification zone by eight points. If their good form continues, Roma could make a push for European spots, though it will require considerable effort.
Genoa, meanwhile, are just behind Roma in the standings. They sit in 11th place with 23 points from 20 matches, just one point behind their upcoming opponents. Genoa are unbeaten in their last three games overall and five consecutive away matches. Over their last ten matches, they have suffered only one loss, a significant improvement after winning just once in their first ten games. While Genoa might dream of European qualification, their squad lacks the quality to seriously contend for spots in competitions like the Conference League. A mid-table finish would be a solid achievement for them this season.
Predicted Lineups
- Roma: Svilar; Mancini, Hummels, Ndicka; Saelemaekers, Kone, Paredes, Pellegrini, Angelino; Dybala, Dovbyk
- Genoa: Leali; De Winter, Bani, Vasquez, Martin; Cassata; Zanoli, Frendrup, Thorsby, Miretti; Pinamonti
Prediction
Both teams are in good form, but in such situations, individual player quality becomes decisive. Roma clearly have an edge in this area. I believe Roma will secure the victory, and I’m betting on them to win with odds of 1.53.
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