David Flower
Dailysports's expert
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Bonus up to $130/€100
The highlight of the 23rd round of the Spanish Championship will be the Saturday clash at the Santiago Bernabéu, where Real Madrid and Atlético Madrid face off in a local derby. Here's a betting suggestion focused on goals for this match with promising chances of success.
Match Preview
Carlo Ancelotti's side suffered a surprising defeat to Espanyol in the last round (0-1), a result that shocked many. Before this loss, Real Madrid had gone six consecutive matches unbeaten in La Liga, winning five and drawing once. Notably, this was only the second time this season that the team failed to score.
Despite this setback, the "Merengues" remain at the top of the table, but their lead over Atlético is now minimal, while Barcelona trails by four points. In 10 home matches, Real Madrid has achieved nine wins with just one loss.
As for the "Colchoneros," they recently ended a short winless streak in La Liga, during which they lost to Leganés (0-1) and drew with Villarreal (1-1). In their last outing, Atlético confidently defeated Mallorca at home (2-0).
Thanks to Real Madrid's slip-up, Diego Simeone's team managed to narrow the gap to just one point. Additionally, Atlético's defense continues to impress, having conceded only 14 goals, the best record in the league. In 10 away matches, they have secured five wins with only two losses.
Probable Lineups
- Real Madrid: Thibaut Courtois – Lucas Vázquez, Eduardo Camavinga, Aurélien Tchouaméni, Antonio Rüdiger – Federico Valverde, Dani Ceballos – Vinícius Júnior, Jude Bellingham, Rodrygo Goes – Kylian Mbappé
- Atlético Madrid: Jan Oblak – Reinildo Mandava, Robin Le Normand, Marcos Llorente, Clément Lenglet – Pablo Barrios, Koke, Giuliano Simeone, Samuel Lino – Alexander Sørloth, Julián Álvarez
Match Facts and Head-to-Head
- Three or more goals were scored in only two of the last 11 La Liga derbies.
- At the Santiago Bernabéu, nine La Liga matches saw no more than two goals scored.
- Last season, the teams played two 1-1 draws in the league.
Prediction
Bookmakers favor Real Madrid, offering odds of 1.91 for their victory. We suggest considering a bet on "Total Under 3.0" at odds of 1.60.
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