Miguel Solomons
Dailysports's expert
Omonia Nicosia
Pafos FC
Omonia will host Pafos in the UEFA Conference League knockout round on Thursday, February 13, with kickoff set for 21:00 CET. Here’s my betting pick for goals in this match.
Omonia vs Pafos: Match facts & H2H
- Omonia is unbeaten in seven matches (six wins, one draw).
- Pafos is on a six-match winning streak.
- Pafos has scored at least one goal in each of their last six matches, while Omonia has found the net in four consecutive games.
- Omonia is unbeaten at home in four matches, while Pafos has won three straight away games.
- Pafos has scored over 1.5 goals in 82% of their matches this season.
- Pafos has kept a clean sheet in 45% of their matches this season, while Omonia has done so in 39%.
- Omonia won the last head-to-head match 1-0. In the last five meetings, Pafos won twice, Omonia won once, and two matches ended in a draw.
Omonia vs Pafos: Match preview
Both teams compete in the Cypriot First Division, making this an all-domestic European fixture. Omonia currently sits third in the league with 45 points from 22 matches, while Pafos leads the table with 55 points.
In the Conference League, Omonia collected seven points from six matches, finishing 22nd overall after a tight group-stage battle, where five teams had the same number of points. They advanced due to superior tiebreakers.
Pafos had a slightly better European campaign, earning 10 points in the group stage. Their two defeats came against Heidenheim and Fiorentina, but they still secured a strong finish in the standings.
Probable lineups
- Omonia: Fabiano; Diounkou, Koulibaly, Panagiotou, Hammás; Charalambous, Marić; Loizou, Stępiński, Semedo; Jovetić.
- Pafos: Ivušić; João Correia, Luckassen, Bukamir, Silva; Pepe, Dragomir, Tanlongo; Bruno, Anderson Silva, Oršić.
Prediction
Since both teams are from the same domestic league, this match carries extra significance. Pafos, as the current league leader, will be looking to extend their dominance, while third-placed Omonia will aim to make a statement. Given the competitive nature of this fixture and the teams’ playing styles, I expect a tight, tactical battle with limited goals. My betting pick is Under 2.5 goals, with odds of 1.81.
