



The third-round clash between Naomi Osaka and Belinda Bencic at the Australian Open is one of the most anticipated matches in the women’s draw. Here’s my analysis and prediction for this exciting encounter.
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Naomi Osaka
The former world No. 1 remains a prominent figure in tennis as she continues her journey back to her peak. Osaka’s start to the season has been promising, with a runner-up finish in Auckland, where she won the first set in the final before withdrawing due to injury.
At the Australian Open, Osaka has faced a challenging draw. She defeated France's Caroline Garcia 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 in the first round and followed that up with a comeback victory over Czech player Karolina Muchova 1-6, 6-1, 6-3. Currently ranked 51st, the 27-year-old appears to be regaining her form.
Belinda Bencic
The Swiss player has experienced highs in her career, including breaking into the top 10 and winning Olympic gold. However, injuries have disrupted her momentum, causing her to miss most of last season. Now 27 years old, Bencic is ranked 294th, but that low ranking is deceptive given her current level of play.
Bencic has been impressive at the Australian Open so far, defeating Jelena Ostapenko 6-3, 7-6 and overcoming the Netherlands’ Suzan Lamens 6-1, 7-6. Although she’s performing well above her ranking, the third round presents a significant challenge.
Match Facts
- Osaka has won six of her seven matches this season.
- Bencic has six wins in eight matches this season.
- Odds for this match: Osaka 1.69, Bencic 2.16.
Head-to-Head
The players have faced each other six times, with Bencic leading the head-to-head 4-2. Their most recent meeting was in 2022.
Prediction
Initially, bookmakers viewed this as an even matchup, but the odds now slightly favor Osaka. This promises to be a thrilling battle between two well-known players. Based on her achievements and improving form, Osaka has the edge. My prediction is a straight win for Naomi Osaka.