Luis Torres
Dailysports's expert
Minnesota Lynx
Las Vegas Aces
On June 18, 2025, the Target Center in Minneapolis will host a regular season WNBA showdown as the Minnesota Lynx take on the Las Vegas Aces. Let's take a closer look at a bet focused on one team's scoring output in this clash.
Minnesota Lynx
The Minnesota Lynx continue to showcase confident play this season. After suffering their first loss of the year against the Seattle Storm, 84-94, the Lynx bounced back on home court in style, crushing the Los Angeles Sparks 101-78. In that game, team leader Napheesa Collier delivered a brilliant performance, posting 32 points, 8 rebounds, and 6 assists. Collier remains the driving force for Minnesota, averaging 26.1 points and 8.8 rebounds per game. Courtney Williams also plays a vital role in orchestrating the offense, contributing 17 points in the latest win. She remains the team's top playmaker with an average of 5.9 assists per game.
Currently, the Minnesota Lynx top the league standings with an impressive 10-1 record. The team ranks among the league's best in both offense (85.9 points per game) and defense (allowing just 75.9 points on average).
Historically, home matchups against the Las Vegas Aces haven't favored the Lynx—Minnesota has lost three of their last four meetings in Minneapolis. However, in their most recent head-to-head last season, the Lynx secured a confidence-boosting 87-74 victory, which should give them momentum heading into this contest.
Las Vegas Aces
The Las Vegas Aces have shown inconsistent form in recent games, dropping three of their last four contests. Their latest outing saw them fall at home to the Phoenix Mercury, 70-76, with their only win during this stretch coming in an 88-84 victory over the struggling Dallas Wings.
These results are directly tied to the absence of Las Vegas' main star, A'ja Wilson, who is the undisputed leader of the team. She averages 20.9 points, 9.6 rebounds, and 4 assists per game, topping all major statistical categories for the Aces. Without her, the team has found it much harder to find success. Despite strong efforts from Jackie Young and Chelsea Gray, who have stepped up as leaders, wins have been tough to come by.
Currently, the Las Vegas Aces sit seventh in the standings with a 5-5 record. Offensively, the team is average, scoring 80.8 points per game (seventh in the league). Defensively, things are worse: the Aces allow 83.1 points per game, ranking ninth. On the road, the Aces have played five games, managing just two wins against three losses.
Despite past success in Minneapolis in previous seasons, it's worth noting that the Lynx have come out on top in the last three head-to-head meetings between the teams.
Key facts and head-to-head stats
- The Minnesota Lynx have won 11 of their last 12 games.
- The Lynx have claimed victory in 9 of their last 10 home games.
- The Las Vegas Aces have lost 3 of their last 4 games.
- The Lynx have won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matchups.
- The Lynx have lost 3 of the last 4 home meetings against the Aces.
Minnesota Lynx vs Las Vegas Aces prediction
Given the current form of both teams, the Minnesota Lynx are clear favorites heading into this matchup. They are confidently leading the league, displaying powerful offense and reliable defense, especially at home where the Lynx traditionally play with extra composure. Meanwhile, the Las Vegas Aces are in a slump—three losses in their last four games, defensive instability, and the absence of their key leader A'ja Wilson are all taking their toll.
Despite the rich history between these two teams, current form and the balance of power point toward Minnesota. Expect a high-scoring game in which the Lynx are likely to secure a convincing win. My bet for this matchup is the Minnesota Lynx individual total over 85 points at odds of 1.77.
