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In the match of Serie A round 22, Milan will face Parma on Sunday, January 26, and here’s a detailed analysis and prediction for this encounter.
Milan vs Parma: Match Facts and Head-to-Head
- Milan are unbeaten at home in their last eight matches.
- Parma have failed to win their last four away games and three matches overall.
- Parma have conceded 36 goals in 21 matches, the second-worst defensive record in Serie A.
- Milan score over 1.5 goals per match in 75% of their games.
- Milan score in both halves in 32% of their matches this season, while Parma concede in 32% of theirs.
- Parma have not won a single match without conceding this season, compared to Milan’s 25% clean sheet record.
- Parma defeated Milan 2-1 in their last meeting. In the last five head-to-head encounters, Milan have won three times.
Milan vs Parma: Match Preview
Milan lost to Parma in the first leg of the season 2-1, and they’ll be determined to exact revenge. They approach this game in good spirits after narrowly defeating Girona in the Champions League earlier this week, securing a spot in the playoffs. In Serie A, Milan currently sit in 8th place with 31 points after 20 matches. They are just two points away from the European qualification zone and eight points behind the Champions League spots. However, last weekend Milan suffered a 0-2 loss to Juventus. It’s worth noting that the team recently underwent a managerial change, with Conceição replacing Fonseca.
Parma, meanwhile, are winless in their last three matches, with two draws and one defeat. Notably, they scored their first goal in three games during their previous outing. Their only victory in the last seven matches came at home against Monza, the bottom team in Serie A. Additionally, Parma have failed to score in their last three away matches. With just 20 points after 21 rounds, Parma are hovering dangerously close to the relegation zone, with only a one-point cushion. Defensive issues persist for the team, as they’ve conceded 36 goals—the second-worst tally in the league.
Predicted Lineups
- Milan: Maignan; Calabria, Gabbia, Tomori, Hernandez; Bennacer, Fofana; Pulisic, Reijnders, Leão; Morata.
- Parma: Suzuki; Del Prato, Valenti, Volyacco, Valeri; Keita, Som; Man, Hernani, Mihaila; Bonny.
Prediction
Milan come into this match following a Champions League victory, eager to maintain their winning momentum. They face a Serie A underdog in Parma, who struggle defensively. Given these factors, my prediction is an individual total of over two goals in the match, with odds of 1.47.
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