Jason Collins
Dailysports's expert
Marseille
Saint-Etienne
On February 15, Ligue 1 presents an exciting lineup of matches, including the clash between Marseille and Saint-Étienne. Can the hosts live up to their status as favorites? Here’s my betting analysis for this fixture.
Marseille
Marseille entered the season with high expectations, boasting a strong squad and an ambitious manager in Roberto De Zerbi. Currently, they sit second in the league, though they trail leaders PSG by 10 points. However, they have a comfortable six-point cushion over third place, making them the clear frontrunners for a Champions League spot.
In their last outing, Marseille secured a 2-0 away victory against Angers, scoring twice in a decisive five-minute spell in the second half. With no other competitions to focus on, Ligue 1 is their sole priority, and they will be eager to maintain their position in the standings.
Saint-Étienne
Saint-Étienne is fighting at the opposite end of the table, currently 16th—a relegation playoff position. They are three points away from safety, making every match crucial in their survival battle.
Their latest result was a 0-2 home defeat to direct rival Rennes, in a match where they were completely outplayed. Their winless streak has now extended to five games, with just two points collected in that stretch. If Saint-Étienne wants to stay in Ligue 1, they must find a way to win more matches.
Probable lineups
- Marseille: Rulli, Cornelius, Balerdi, Murillo, Merlin, Højbjerg, Bennacer, Luis Henrique, Rabiot, Greenwood, Gouiri.
- Saint-Étienne: Larsonneur, Appiah, Nadé, Petro, Cornu, Bouchouari, Ekwa, Mouton, Boakye, Stassin, Davitashvili.
Match facts
- Marseille at home: 4 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses.
- Saint-Étienne away: Worst team in the league, with 9 losses and 2 draws.
- Betting odds: Marseille 1.29 | Draw 6.1 | Saint-Étienne 9.9.
Head-to-head (H2H)
Marseille has already beaten Saint-Étienne twice this season: 2-0 away win in Ligue 1, 4-0 away win in the Coupe de France.
Prediction
There’s no doubt that Marseille is the clear favorite in this matchup. They have the home advantage, a stronger squad, and a dominant record against Saint-Étienne this season.
Saint-Étienne desperately needs points, but their poor form and terrible away record make this a tough challenge. Marseille, on the other hand, will be determined to maintain their strong position in Ligue 1. Best bet: Marseille to win with a -1.5 goal handicap.
