



On April 19, 2025, at the Son Moix Stadium in Palma de Mallorca, a match of the 32nd round of the Spanish La Liga will take place, featuring Mallorca against Leganes. I propose a bet on the victory of one of the teams.
Mallorca
Mallorca continues to hold its ground in the battle for European competitions, sharing the seventh spot in the standings with Celta — both teams have 43 points. This position currently grants the right to participate in the Conference League. The gap from the sixth place, occupied by Betis, is only 5 points — a quite surmountable distance over the remaining seven rounds.
In the last two rounds, Mallorca faced direct competitors for European places, with both games yielding diametrically opposite results. First, the team lost at home to Celta 1-2 — this defeat was the first in the last five home matches and seems more like an exception than a rule. However, in the next round, Mallorca redeemed itself by unexpectedly securing a convincing victory over Real Sociedad away — 2-0.
Such fluctuations in results only highlight the intensity of the battle for European qualification spots and Mallorca's readiness to fight to the very end.
Leganes
Leganes is in the relegation zone, occupying the penultimate, 19th position in the standings. The team has 28 points, and the gap from the safe 17th position is only two points — the chances of staying in the league remain, but the current state of the team raises serious concerns.
The team's form leaves much to be desired: over the last 12 rounds, Leganes has won only once, collecting just 6 points during this stretch. Such statistics fully correspond to the status of one of the main outsiders of the current season.
Away results also show a systemic decline. In the last four away matches, the team consistently lost, conceding at least two goals in each of these encounters. Clearly, unstable defense and weak away performance are among the main obstacles to retaining a league spot.
Possible Lineups
- Mallorca: Greif, Maffeo, Valjent, Raillo, Copete, Mojica, Sanchez, Samu Costa, Darder, Rodriguez, Larin
- Leganes: Dmitrovic, Rosier, Saenz, Gonzalez, Hernandez, Lanu, Altimira, Rodriguez, Cisse, Diomande, Raba
Match Facts and H2H
- In 9 of the last 10 home matches of Mallorca, the bet "both teams to score" was successful.
- Leganes failed to score in 3 of the last 5 away matches.
- The first-round match ended with a 1-0 victory for Mallorca on Leganes' field.
- In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, the total over 2.5 goals was never surpassed.
Prediction
Mallorca demonstrates a solid home form despite the recent defeat to Celta — the team feels confident on its home turf and regularly earns points. Leganes, on the other hand, faces significant challenges in away matches, both in terms of results and converting chances. Given the current form of both teams, betting on a Mallorca victory with odds of 1.86 looks like a justified and promising choice.