Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek prediction, H2H & betting tips on January 22, 2025

Jason Collins Jason Collins Dailysports's expert
Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek prediction Photo: https://www.stalbertgazette.com/ Author unknown
Madison Keys Madison Keys
Australian Open 23 jan 2025, 05:00 Madison Keys - Iga Swiatek
Melbourne, Rod Laver Arena
Iga Swiatek Iga Swiatek
Prediction on game W2(-5)
Odds: 1.71
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At the Australian Open, it's time for the semifinals, and one of them will feature Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek. Will the American become another "victim" of the relentless Pole? Here’s my prediction for this matchup.

Madison Keys

This season has been excellent for the experienced American. She won the tournament in Adelaide and has now reached the semifinals of the Australian Open. It’s fair to say the draw hasn’t been the easiest—players like Ann Li and Ruse were manageable, but Danielle Collins posed a more serious challenge.

Keys was a slight underdog only once, in her match against the world No. 7 Elena Rybakina, whom she defeated in three sets. She also faced a tough test against the experienced Ukrainian Elina Svitolina, emerging victorious in three sets as well. At 29 years old, Keys is ranked 14th in the world, and this marks her third semifinal appearance at the Australian Open.

Iga Swiatek

The Polish star is striking fear into her opponents, as evidenced by the scores she’s been posting: Rebecca Sramkova – 6:0, 6:2; Emma Raducanu – 6:0, 6:1; Eva Lys – 6:0, 6:1; Emma Navarro – 6:1, 6:2. Only in the first round against Katerina Siniakova was the scoreline somewhat close—6:3, 6:4.

Swiatek has yet to face any real resistance, though this isn’t due to weak opponents. The Pole is in phenomenal form and seems unstoppable on her quest for the title. Notably, this is one major she has yet to win. Currently ranked No. 2 in the world, the 23-year-old is laser-focused on claiming the trophy.

Match Facts

  • Keys has recorded 12 wins in 13 matches this season.
  • Swiatek has secured 9 wins in 10 matches this season.
  • The odds for this match are as follows: Keys win (P1) – 5.2, Swiatek win (P2) – 1.19.

Head-to-Head

The players have faced each other five times, with Swiatek winning four of those encounters. None of their matches have gone beyond two sets. Last season, Keys suffered two one-sided defeats to Swiatek, though both matches were played on clay.

Prediction

A spot in the Grand Slam final is at stake, but I don’t see much room for drama in this matchup. With all due respect to the American, Swiatek is incredibly difficult to challenge right now. My prediction is a Swiatek victory with a -5 game handicap, although Keys has the ability to hold her serve reliably.

Prediction on game W2(-5)
Odds: 1.71
Betwinner Bonus Code
DAILYSPORTS7 Promo code copied
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