Luis Torres
Dailysports's expert
On May 19, 2025, the MLS will treat fans to another thrilling encounter—one of the tournament’s brightest derbies—as Los Angeles Galaxy host Los Angeles FC at their home stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00 a.m. Central European Time. Let’s break down the odds and consider a bet on the teams’ scoring potential in this high-stakes clash.
Los Angeles Galaxy
Last season’s MLS champions, Los Angeles Galaxy, are facing significant challenges at the start of this campaign, remaining the league’s only winless team after 13 rounds. They sit 15th in the Western Conference with just three points, boasting the worst defense and one of the weakest attacking records—only 10 goals scored and 31 conceded. In recent matches, Galaxy suffered a 2-3 defeat away to Philadelphia Union, following a crushing 0-7 loss to New York Red Bulls.
Additionally, the club bowed out of the CONCACAF Champions League, getting eliminated in the quarterfinals by Mexico’s Tigres.
Despite Galaxy’s rough patch, the derby against Los Angeles FC promises fireworks. The last five meetings between these sides have all been goal-fests—each one exceeding the 2.5 goals total. Galaxy celebrated victory twice, while LAFC came out on top three times.
Los Angeles FC
Unlike their upcoming rivals, Los Angeles FC have hit a solid run of form in recent matches. After a shaky start, LAFC are now unbeaten in their last six games—three wins and three draws. In their previous outing, LAFC cruised past Seattle Sounders at home with a commanding 4-0 victory. After 13 matches, the team sits fifth in the Eastern Conference with 21 points, just six points shy of leaders Vancouver.
However, their away form tells a different story—LAFC are winless in their last five on the road, picking up three defeats and two draws (2-2 with Vancouver, 3-3 with Portland).
Head-to-head away matches against Galaxy have also been tough: in their last six visits, LAFC lost four times and won just twice. All six of those clashes were high-scoring affairs, each finishing with over 2.5 goals.
Interesting facts & head-to-head stats
- Los Angeles Galaxy have lost 7 of their last 8 matches.
- 3 of Galaxy’s last 4 games saw over 2.5 goals scored.
- LAFC are unbeaten in their last 6 matches.
- 6 of LAFC’s last 7 matches ended with over 2.5 total goals.
- LAFC have won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings.
- 9 of the last 10 head-to-head matches featured over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in 9 of the last 10 head-to-head encounters.
Probable lineups
- Los Angeles Galaxy: McCarthy, Yamane, Garces, Yoshida, Nelson, Parente, Winder, Sanabria, Fagundez, Reus, Cuevas.
- Los Angeles FC: Lloris, Palencia, Segura, Marlon, Smolyakov, Jesus, Amaya, Tillman, Ebobisse, Ünder, Bouanga.
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC match prediction
We’re in for a tense and electrifying showdown—the kind of derby that defines the MLS. For the Galaxy, this fixture carries extra weight: the team is desperate for their first win of the season to break out of their ongoing crisis. Despite defensive woes, Galaxy traditionally perform with confidence in head-to-heads against LAFC. On the other side, LAFC have shown consistency and attacking prowess, finding the net with regularity. All signs point to a dynamic, action-packed battle filled with dangerous moments and fierce competition until the final whistle. My bet for this match: over 2.5 total goals at odds of 1.59.
