Raphael Durand
Dailysports's expert
One of the fixtures of Serie A's 38th round will take place on Sunday at the Olimpico, where local side Lazio host Lecce. I’m backing a bet on goals in this clash, with solid chances for success.
Match preview
The Rome-based club continues to maintain a strong pace as the season draws to a close. In their last outing, Marco Baroni's men battled to a 2-2 draw away at Inter Milan—extending their Serie A unbeaten streak to eight matches (three wins and five draws).
However, Lazio’s attack hasn’t always fired on all cylinders during this spell—scoring more than one goal in only three of their last ten fixtures. Still, the Eagles remain firmly in the top-four race, trailing the Champions League zone by just two points, and their 61 goals scored is the third-best tally in the league. At the Stadio Olimpico, the team has been consistently sharing the spoils lately—six consecutive home matches have ended in draws.
In the previous round, Lecce finally gave their fans something to cheer about—a narrow 1-0 home win over Torino marked their first victory in 14 rounds. Marco Giampaolo’s side snapped a 13-match winless run and kept a clean sheet for the first time in 12 games.
Thanks to those three points, Lecce climbed out of the relegation zone and now sit in the all-important 17th spot with 31 points. But to secure their Serie A status, they need to build on this result in the final round. That said, Lecce remain the least prolific attack in the league—just 26 goals scored. Their away form is also concerning: no wins in their last six road trips (three draws and three defeats).
Probable lineups
- Lazio: Christos Mandas – Adam Marušić, Alessio Romagnoli, Mario Gila, Nuno Tavares – Gustav Isaksen, Matteo Guendouzi, Matías Vecino, Nicolò Rovella, Boulaye Dia – Valentín Castellanos
- Lecce: Wladimiro Falcone – Antonino Gallo, Federico Baschirotto, Kialonda Gaspar, Frédéric Guilbert – Lassana Coulibaly, Balthazar Pierre, Thorir Helgason, Konan N'Dri, Ante Rebić – Nikola Krstović
Match facts and head-to-head
- Lazio have beaten this opponent in their last two encounters
- The "Over 2.5 goals" bet has landed in four of the last five matches
- Both teams to score has come through in four of the last five meetings
Prediction
Both teams are showing signs of attacking intent: Lazio consistently score at home, while Lecce have improved up front as the season winds down. At the same time, defensive issues on both sides increase the chances of goals at either end. Prediction: Both teams to score – yes, at odds of 1.92.
