Luis Torres
Dailysports's expert
Indiana Fever
Connecticut Sun
On June 18, 2025, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, the Indiana Fever will take on the Connecticut Sun in a regular season WNBA clash. Let’s break down the best bet for this intriguing matchup.
Indiana Fever
The Indiana Fever are steadily hitting their stride this season. After 10 games, the team sits third in the Eastern Conference and sixth overall in the league with a balanced 5-5 record. Their most recent win was especially impressive—Indiana handed the reigning champions, the New York Liberty, their first loss of the season on home court with a commanding 102-88 victory. The star of that game was Caitlin Clark, who delivered a phenomenal performance: 32 points, 8 rebounds, and 9 assists. That victory marked Indiana’s second consecutive home win; prior to that, they handled the Washington Mystics with confidence, 85-76. All in all, the Fever have won three of their last four games, with their only loss coming on the road against the Atlanta Dream, 58-77.
However, the next game brings a tough challenge—Connecticut Sun, a team that has historically dominated this matchup. Over the last seven meetings in Indianapolis, the Fever have managed just one win, falling in the other six contests. To make matters worse, the teams have already met this season, with Connecticut edging out Indiana in a dramatic finish, 85-83.
Connecticut Sun
The Connecticut Sun have been disappointing their fans this season. The team lost their last two games by wide margins—first, they were routed on the road by the Washington Mystics, 67-104, and then unexpectedly fell at home to the Chicago Sky, 66-78, a team that has also struggled with consistency. After 10 games, Connecticut has only 2 wins and 8 losses, putting them in 12th place in the overall WNBA standings. The Sun have the league’s worst offense, averaging just 71.3 points per game. They also rank second-to-last in points allowed, conceding an average of 88.2 per game—only the Dallas Wings have fared worse defensively.
On the road, Connecticut has played five games and managed just one win—ironically, against the Indiana Fever. The other four away games all ended in defeat. Still, despite their current slump, the Sun remain a problematic matchup for Indiana. In head-to-head meetings, Connecticut has dominated, winning 14 of the last 15 games against the Fever, including the last three in a row.
Interesting facts and head-to-head stats
- Indiana Fever have won 3 of their last 4 games.
- Connecticut Sun have lost 8 of their last 10 games.
- Connecticut Sun have lost 4 of their last 5 road games.
- Connecticut Sun have won 9 of their last 10 matchups against Indiana Fever.
Indiana Fever vs Connecticut Sun prediction
Indiana Fever are in red-hot form right now—three wins in their last four, including a statement victory over defending champions New York Liberty. Meanwhile, the Connecticut Sun are off to a rough start: just two wins in ten games, issues on both ends of the court, and a string of recent disappointments. Yes, the head-to-head stats clearly favor Connecticut—they’ve consistently beaten Indiana, including once already this season. But based on current form, Indiana Fever look like the favorites. They’re playing with energy and fire, while Connecticut are still searching for answers. My pick for this matchup: Indiana Fever to win with a -14 handicap at odds of 1.65.
