Miguel Solomons
Dailysports's expert
On Monday, April 21, as part of the 33rd round of Serie A, Genoa will host Lazio. The match kicks off at 18:00 Central European Time. I propose a bet on this match.
Genoa vs Lazio: facts and head-to-head meetings
- Genoa is unbeaten at home in six consecutive matches: five wins and one draw.
- Lazio has lost two of their last three away matches.
- Lazio boasts the third-best attack in Serie A — 53 goals in 32 rounds.
- Genoa is one of the lowest-scoring teams with only 29 goals.
- In 85% of matches, Lazio scores more than 1.5 goals, while Genoa does so in 65% of games.
- Genoa wins "to nil" more often: 22% of matches compared to Lazio's 19%.
- However, they also lose "to nil" more frequently: 22% compared to the Eagles' 13%.
- In the first round, Lazio crushed Genoa 3-0.
- In the last five head-to-head matches: three wins for Lazio, two for Genoa.
Match preview
Genoa is confidently holding its position in the middle of the standings and has practically guaranteed its stay in Serie A. After 32 rounds, the team has accumulated 39 points, 15 points ahead of the relegation zone. It's too late to fight for European competitions — the gap is 18 points. In the last five matches, Genoa lost only once, won twice, and drew twice.
Lazio, on the other hand, continues to fight for the European competition zone. The Eagles have 56 points after 32 rounds, and they are only three points behind fourth place. The team recently sensationally exited the Europa League, losing to Bodo-Glimt on penalties, and can now focus exclusively on Serie A. In the last five rounds, Lazio won twice, lost twice, and drew once.
Probable line-ups
- Genoa: Leali; Sabelli, De Winter, Vasquez, Martin; Frendrup, Masini; Zanoli, Miretti, Vitinha; Pinamonti
- Lazio: Mandas; Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Pellegrini; Guendouzi, Rovella; Chaouna, Dia, Zaccagni; Noslin
Prediction
After their Europa League exit, Lazio will have strong motivation to win, as the European competition zone is still within reach. Genoa, on the other hand, has no more tournament objectives, which plays into the visitors' hands. My bet is on Lazio's individual total over 1 with odds of 1.68.
