David Flower
Dailysports's expert
Freiburg
Hoffenheim
One of the matches of the 30th round of the German championship will be played on Saturday at the Europa-Park stadium, where the local Freiburg will host Hoffenheim. I suggest betting on goals in this match with good chances of winning.
Match preview
The "Breisgau Brazilians" finally delighted their fans last week with an away victory over Borussia Mönchengladbach (2-1), ending a five-match winless streak in the championship (three draws and two losses). Nevertheless, Julian Schuster's team's defense continues to falter — Freiburg has conceded in four consecutive rounds.
However, it is worth noting that in terms of clean sheets, the club is in the top four of the Bundesliga with ten such matches, and only three teams in the league boast a better record. The victory in Gladbach allowed them to return to the European competition race. At home, Freiburg feels confident — in 8 of the last 11 matches at their stadium, the team has not lost, securing 6 wins and drawing twice.
The Sinsheim team, following Freiburg, also ended their winless streak in the championship — although it lasted one match less (two draws and two losses). In the last round, Hoffenheim confidently dealt with Mainz (2-0), marking only their fourth clean sheet of the current Bundesliga season. Moreover, Christian Ilzer's team managed to score more than one goal in a league match for the first time in seven games.
This success allowed "Hoffe" to strengthen their 14th position and increase the gap from the relegation playoff zone to a comfortable 8 points. On the road, the "blue-whites" continue their uncompromising line — already 7 consecutive matches without draws (three wins and four losses). However, the defense regularly falters: in 8 of the last 9 away matches, the club has conceded.
Probable lineups
- Freiburg: Florian Müller – Philipp Lienhart, Lukas Kübler, Maximilian Rosenfelder, Christian Günter – Patrick Osterhage, Maximilian Eggestein, Lucas Höler, Ritsu Doan, Vincenzo Grifo – Gregoritsch
- Hoffenheim: Oliver Baumann – Arthur Chaves, Valenten Jandre, Stanley Nsoki, Kevin Akpoguma – Anton Stach, Andrej Kramaric, Tom Bischof, Marius Bülter – Haris Tabakovic, Bazoumane Toure
Match facts and head-to-head
- In the first round, the teams played to a 1-1 draw
- The "both teams to score" bet has won in the last 4 matches
- The "total over 2.5 goals" option has hit in three out of five matches
Prediction
Bookmakers favor the hosts in this match, offering odds of around 1.95 for a Freiburg victory. Both teams are not at their best defensively, and in head-to-heads, the "both teams to score" bet has hit in 8 of the last 9 encounters. We suggest sticking to this option here as well.
