Miguel Solomons
Dailysports's expert
Fiorentina
Como
On Matchday 25 of Serie A, Fiorentina will host Como on Sunday, February 16, at 12:30 CET. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the match and a betting recommendation.
Fiorentina - Como: Key Facts and Head-to-Head
- Fiorentina are unbeaten in their last three home matches (two wins and one draw).
- Como are on an eight-match winless streak away from home.
- Como are currently on a three-game losing streak.
- Como have conceded two goals in each of their last three matches and haven't kept a clean sheet in their last eight games.
- Como have the fourth-worst defense in Serie A (40 goals conceded).
- Fiorentina have scored over 1.5 goals per game in 82% of matches this season.
- Fiorentina have lost just 6% of their matches without scoring.
- Como have managed to win only 8% of their matches without conceding a goal.
- In their first meeting this season, Fiorentina won 2-0. Historically, Fiorentina have won four of their six encounters, while Como have won twice.
Fiorentina - Como: Match Preview
Fiorentina are in a tight race for European qualification this season. They currently sit on 42 points after 24 matches, just three points behind fourth place. However, the competition is fierce, as their lead over seventh place is only one point. In their last league match, Fiorentina lost 2-1 away to Inter, despite having beaten them 3-0 just days earlier. Overall, Fiorentina have won three of their last five matches, with one draw and one loss. Notably, they have the fifth-best defense in Serie A with just 25 goals conceded.
Como, on the other hand, have major defensive issues. Under Cesc Fàbregas, the team has conceded 40 goals, making them the fourth-worst defense in the league. Returning to Serie A after a 20-year absence, their main objective this season is avoiding relegation. However, their current form is worrying, with three consecutive defeats and four losses in their last five matches. In all four of those losses, Como conceded at least two goals. With 22 points from 24 matches, they sit just two points above the relegation zone.
Probable Lineups
- Fiorentina: De Gea; Dodô, Comuzzo, Ranieri, Gosens; Richardson, Mandragora; Zaniolo, Gudmundsson, Florunsho; Beltrán
- Como: Butes; Smolčić, Goldaniga, Dossena, Valle; Perrone, Da Cunha; Strefezza, Paz, Diao; Cutrone
Prediction
Fiorentina will be looking to bounce back after their recent loss, and at home, they have been solid. Como, meanwhile, are on a poor run of form, particularly away from home, where they have struggled all season. Given the momentum, squad quality, and Como’s defensive frailties, I expect Fiorentina to secure a home victory.
My betting recommendation: Fiorentina to win with odds of 1.99.
