Luis Torres
Dailysports's expert
El Gouna
Modern Sport
On Tuesday, April 16, El Gouna will face Modern Sport in the 4th round of the final Egyptian League Cup. The match is scheduled to kick off at 16:00 Central European Time. Let's consider a bet on the number of goals scored in the match.
El Gouna
El Gouna came into this match with a crucial 2-1 victory over ZED, which helped to regain some confidence after a three-match winless streak. In their last five games, the team has secured two wins, one draw, and two losses. At home, El Gouna plays more cohesively — a factor that could be pivotal in the upcoming encounter. The team has won its last four home matches, three of which ended with the same 2-0 scoreline, conceding only one goal in these games.
As for the League Cup, the opponents are direct competitors in the race for a quarterfinal spot. Both teams have the same number of points, but El Gouna trails on goal difference and occupies a lower position. Therefore, to move up to second place and advance to the next round, the hosts need nothing less than a victory.
Modern Sport
Modern Sport approaches the match after a 1-2 defeat to ENPPI, ending their four-match unbeaten run. In their last five outings, the team has achieved two wins, two draws, and one loss. It's worth highlighting their solid defensive play — only four goals conceded and three clean sheets.
One of Modern Sport's main issues this season remains their away games: the team has not managed an away win in 11 consecutive matches.
Additionally, the head-to-head statistics are noteworthy. In the last five encounters between these teams, Modern Sport has won three times and lost twice. In the last away game against El Gouna, the team won 2-0.
Probable Lineups
El Gouna: Alaa, Ahmed, Talab, Shousha, Jatta, Akem, El Saed, Reda, Oho, Mohsen, Hassouna
Modern Sport: Genesh, Ngwem, Fawzi, Rizk, Elfie, Mohamed, Youssef, Zaddem, Atef, Mosaad, Hassan
Interesting Facts and Head-to-Head Meetings
- El Gouna is unbeaten in 6 of their last 8 matches.
- 8 of El Gouna's last 11 matches ended with a total of less than 2.5 goals.
- El Gouna has won their last 4 home matches.
- Modern Sport is unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- 4 of Modern Sport's last 5 matches ended with a total of less than 2.5 goals.
- Both teams have scored in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings.
- 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings ended with a total of more than 2.5 goals.
Match Prediction: El Gouna vs Modern Sport
The match promises to be tense and significant, considering the tournament situation and the equality of points in the group. Both teams demonstrate solid defensive play, but El Gouna has a clear home advantage, consistently winning and conceding almost no goals. Meanwhile, Modern Sport faces serious challenges on the road, which might not work in their favor. Based on the current form, statistics, and the hosts' motivation, El Gouna appears to be the favorite, but the visitors' fighting spirit and head-to-head history suggest the match could be tough and unpredictable. My bet is a total of over 1.5 goals in the match with a coefficient of 1.6.
