Miguel Solomons
Dailysports's expert
In the 43rd round of the Championship, Derby County will face Luton. The game will take place on Friday, April 18, and I suggest placing a bet on the number of goals in this encounter.
Derby vs Luton: match facts and head-to-head meetings
- Derby has been unable to win in three consecutive matches: two draws and a loss.
- Luton has also not won in their last three matches: two draws and a loss. The team has only one victory in their last five games.
- At home, Derby is unbeaten in their last four matches: one draw and three wins.
- Luton has the fourth-worst defense in the Championship, having conceded 63 goals.
- Both teams struggle in attack: Luton has the worst attack in the league (37 goals), while Derby is fourth from the bottom (44 goals).
- Derby wins with a clean sheet in 16% of matches, while Luton does so in only 14%.
- In the first round, Luton defeated Derby 2-1. In the last five head-to-head meetings, Luton has three wins, while Derby has one.
Derby vs Luton: match preview
Both teams are in the lower part of the standings and are fighting desperately for survival. Derby is in 21st place, just one point ahead of the relegation zone. The team struggles with finishing, having scored 44 goals, the fourth-worst in the Championship. In their last three matches, they have not won: two draws and one loss. However, things are better at home: four games unbeaten — one draw and three wins. In the previous round, Derby drew with Portsmouth 2-2.
Luton played in the Premier League last season but finished last and was relegated from England's top division. This season isn't much better; in fact, it's critical. After 42 rounds, Luton has 40 points and is in 23rd place in the table. The team is three points behind Derby, making this match extremely important for them. However, the outlook isn't bright: Luton hasn't won in three games, and their attack problems persist, with 37 goals scored, the worst in the league.
Probable lineups
- Derby: Zetterstrom; Langas, Phillips, Clarke; Wilson, Adams, Armstrong, Forsyth; Yates, Mendes-Lang, Harness
- Luton: Kaminski; Burke, Mengi, Bell; Jones, Walsh, Clarke, Asgard, Alli; Chong, Morris
Prediction
Both teams need a victory to keep their Championship survival hopes alive. Therefore, the match promises to be tense but unlikely to be high-scoring. Given both sides' attacking issues, I predict a total of under 2 goals with odds of 1.82.
