Luis Torres
Dailysports's expert
Connecticut Sun
Las Vegas Aces
On July 6, 2025, at the Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, the Connecticut Sun will face off against the Las Vegas Aces in a regular season WNBA showdown. Let’s break down the best bet for this matchup.
Connecticut Sun
The Connecticut Sun continue to frustrate their fans this season. The team is on a nine-game losing streak and owns both the league’s worst defense and offense. With just two wins and fifteen losses, Connecticut rightfully sits at the bottom of the standings.
Their last four games were all on the road, and they lost each by double digits. This included a 59-85 defeat to the Las Vegas Aces, followed by a setback against the Seattle Storm, and most recently a blowout loss in Minneapolis as the Minnesota Lynx cruised past the Sun 102-63.
Despite these struggles, Alisha Morrow has been a standout, recording back-to-back double-doubles: 16 points and 11 rebounds against Minnesota, and 20 points and 11 rebounds versus Seattle. However, the team’s top scorer remains Tina Charles, who is averaging 14.9 points per game.
Things aren’t much better at home: in seven games at their own arena, the Sun have just one win—a surprising 84-76 victory over the Atlanta Dream. The other six home contests all ended in defeat.
Head-to-head at home against the Las Vegas Aces, Connecticut has also struggled—losing four of the last five meetings, including both most recent matchups where the Sun again came up short.
Las Vegas Aces
After 17 games, the Las Vegas Aces sit eighth in the standings with 8 wins and 9 losses. In their last outing, the Aces suffered a stunning blowout loss on the road to the Indiana Fever—54-81. The lone bright spot was A’ja Wilson, who poured in 29 points and grabbed 3 rebounds. She remains the team’s undisputed leader, averaging 22.1 points and 9.4 rebounds per game.
This defeat was their second in the last five games. During this stretch, the Aces also picked up three wins: against the Phoenix Mercury (81-74), Indiana Fever at home (89-81), and over their next opponent—Connecticut Sun.
Overall, Las Vegas has completely dominated recent head-to-heads with Connecticut, winning six straight meetings, often by convincing margins. This gives the Aces a clear psychological edge going into the next clash.
Key facts and head-to-head stats
- Connecticut Sun have lost 10 of their last 11 games.
- Connecticut Sun have lost 6 of their last 7 home games.
- Las Vegas Aces have lost 3 of their last 4 road games.
- Las Vegas Aces have won 8 of the last 9 head-to-head matchups.
- Connecticut Sun have lost 4 of their last 5 home games against the Aces.
Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces prediction
Despite some inconsistency this season, the Las Vegas Aces are clear favorites for this matchup. The team boasts a deeper roster, the leadership of A’ja Wilson, and a stellar record in head-to-head play—six straight wins over Connecticut speak for themselves. The Sun remain mired in crisis: a nine-game losing streak, porous defense, and total lack of stability both at home and away. Even if the game is close, the psychological advantage is with the Aces, who know how to turn up the tempo and exploit their opponent’s weaknesses. My pick for this game is Las Vegas Aces to win with a -15 handicap at odds of 1.74.
