Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona prediction: how many goals will the teams score?

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
Champions League 15 apr 2025, 15:00 Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona
Finished
3 : 1
International, Dortmund, BVB Stadion Dortmund
Barcelona Barcelona
Serhou Guirassy
11’ (P) 49’ 76’
54’ (OG)
Ramy Bensebaini
Prediction on game Total under 3.5
Odds: 1.78

Bonus up to $130/€100

On Tuesday, April 15, in the second leg of the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals, Borussia Dortmund will host Barcelona. The match kicks off at 21:00 Central European Time. The first game saw the Catalans claim a resounding 4-0 victory. I suggest betting on the number of goals in this match.

Interesting facts about the match and head-to-head history

  • Barcelona has not lost a single match in 2025.
  • Borussia Dortmund has lost only 1 of their last 17 home matches in the Champions League.
  • In 21 matches this season, Barcelona has scored more than 3 goals.
  • This will be the fifth match in history between these two teams. Barcelona has won 3 times, and one match ended in a draw.

Match preview

A year ago, Borussia Dortmund sensationally reached the UEFA Champions League final, but this season their chances of reaching the semi-finals are virtually nil. Coming back from a 0-4 deficit against such a Barcelona is simply impossible.

Overall, this season is shaping up to be one of the worst for the Dortmund team in recent years, as they are at serious risk of not qualifying for the 2025/26 Champions League season. After 29 rounds, the Yellow-Blacks are only in eighth place, trailing the top four by 6 points.

Over the weekend, Nico Kovac's team played away in Der Klassiker against Bayern Munich and managed to take points from them – 2:2. During the match, Dortmund took the lead, quickly conceded twice, but managed to salvage a draw thanks to a goal from a corner.

Barcelona is one of the favorites of the current Champions League, and in the first game against Borussia Dortmund, they only confirmed this status. A distinctive feature of Hans Flick's team this season is that they often not only defeat opponents but do so in a commanding fashion.

In La Liga, Barcelona is in first place with 7 rounds to go, leading Real Madrid by 4 points. Considering that El Clasico is ahead, the entire championship battle is still ahead.

On Saturday, the Blaugranas secured a hard-fought away victory over Leganes (1-0) thanks to an own goal by Saenz early in the second half. During the match, Barcelona lost their main left-back Alejandro Balde to injury.

Possible lineups

  • Borussia Dortmund: Kobel; Ryerson, Can, Anton, Bensebaini; Gross, Nmecha; Gittens, Brandt, Adeyemi; Guirassy
  • Barcelona: Szczesny; Kounde, Araujo, Kubarsi, Gerard Martin; Pedri, De Jong; Yamal, Lopez, Raphinha; Lewandowski

Prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Barcelona

Barcelona has key matches of the season ahead, and the result of the first match effectively turns this game into a friendly. I expect Barcelona to conserve energy, and it will be difficult for Dortmund to create chances. My bet for this match is a total of less than 3.5 goals.

Prediction on game Total under 3.5
Odds: 1.78

Bonus up to $130/€100

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