Miguel Solomons
Dailysports's expert
Atalanta
Real Madrid
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This week, the UEFA Champions League returns with Atalanta hosting Real Madrid on Tuesday, December 10. Here’s an in-depth look at the match, head-to-head stats, and a betting suggestion focused on goals.
Atalanta vs Real Madrid: Match facts and H2H
- Atalanta is in incredible form, currently unbeaten in 14 consecutive matches across all competitions, with a winning streak of eight games.
- Real Madrid, by contrast, has been less consistent, securing two wins and two draws in their last four matches.
- Both teams boast strong scoring records: Atalanta has scored in eight consecutive matches, while Real Madrid has a three-game scoring streak.
- Atalanta has conceded only one goal in this season’s UEFA Champions League, tied for the second-best defensive record in the tournament.
- Both teams are likely to exceed 1.5 goals per match, with Real Madrid at 95% and Atalanta at 90% in this metric.
- In 67% of Atalanta’s home matches, both teams have scored. For Real Madrid’s away games, this figure is 50%.
- Real Madrid has won 38% of its matches this season without conceding a goal, while Atalanta has achieved a clean-sheet victory in 35% of its games.
- Notably, Real Madrid has a higher rate of losing without scoring (14%) compared to Atalanta’s 5%.
- The teams have faced each other three times in history, with Real Madrid winning all three encounters.
Atalanta vs Real Madrid: Match preview
Atalanta is in outstanding form, with a 14-match unbeaten run that includes eight straight wins and an active scoring streak. In their last Serie A match, Atalanta defeated Milan 2-1, and in the Champions League, they demolished Young Boys 6-1. Currently, Atalanta is in the top five of the Champions League standings, having accumulated 11 points from five matches. Their defense remains one of the tournament’s best, with only one goal conceded. However, with three group-stage matches remaining, Atalanta's top-eight position is not yet secure, adding extra motivation for this clash.
Real Madrid, on the other hand, has struggled for consistency, losing two and winning two of their last four matches. Their Champions League campaign has also been underwhelming, with two consecutive losses. With just six points after five games, Real Madrid sits 24th in the standings, occupying the last playoff spot. The gap to the top eight is only four points, but the upcoming matches against Atalanta, Salzburg, and Brest will be critical. The match against Atalanta is especially pivotal in determining whether Real Madrid can remain in contention for the top eight.
Predicted lineups
- Atalanta: Carnesecchi; Djimsiti, Højlund, Kolasinac; Bellanova, De Roon, Éderson, Ruggeri; De Ketelaere, Retegui, Lookman
- Real Madrid: Courtois; Vázquez, Tchouaméni, Rüdiger, F. García; Valverde, Bellingham, Modrić; Rodrygo, Mbappé, Vinícius
Prediction
This is a crucial game for both teams. Atalanta is in fantastic form, while Real Madrid's inconsistency could pose challenges. However, Madrid’s high-caliber players ensure Atalanta won’t have an easy time. My betting suggestion is for both teams to score. The odds for this outcome stand at 1.49.
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