Aston Villa vs Tottenham: can Villa clinch a Champions League spot?

16 may 2025, 14:30
Finished
2 : 0
England, Birmingham, Villa Park
Ezri Konsa
59’
Boubacar Kamara
73’
Prediction on game Total over 3
Odds: 1.59
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In matchday 37 of the English Premier League, Aston Villa will host Tottenham on Friday, May 16, at 20:30 Central European Time. We offer you a bet focused on goals in this clash.

Aston Villa vs Tottenham: match facts and head-to-head

  • Aston Villa are unbeaten at home for 20 consecutive matches.
  • Tottenham have the fifth most productive attack in the Premier League, with 63 goals scored.
  • However, Tottenham also have the fifth worst defence in the league, conceding 59 goals.
  • At home, Aston Villa have scored at least one goal in each of their last 18 matches.
  • Aston Villa win to nil in 25% of their games, Tottenham in 23%.
  • Both teams have the same percentage of matches with over 1.5 goals – 81%.
  • Aston Villa lose fewer matches without scoring – 15% compared to Tottenham’s 17%.
  • The teams have met twice this season. Spurs won the league encounter 4-1, while Villa triumphed in the cup 2-1.

Aston Villa vs Tottenham: match preview

Aston Villa are locked in a fierce battle for a place in the UEFA Champions League. The team sits sixth in the table with 63 points after 36 rounds, tied with Chelsea in fifth but behind on tiebreakers. They trail the fourth-placed side by just two points, highlighting the incredible congestion at the top – Villa lead Nottingham by only one point. The Birmingham side have claimed back-to-back wins in their last two outings, which is crucial, as only two matches remain and any slip-up could prove fatal.

As for Tottenham, their Premier League season is essentially over. The team has collected 38 points from 36 matches and sits 17th. Relegation is not a threat, so Spurs are winding down the campaign with little motivation. Next week, they have the Europa League final, and it's clear all their focus will be on that. In the Premier League, Tottenham have lost five straight matches and have just one win in their last ten.

Probable line-ups

  • Aston Villa: Martinez; Cash, Konsa, Torres, Digne; Kamara, Onana; Rogers, Asensio, McGinn; Watkins
  • Tottenham: Vicario; Porro, Danso, Davies, Spence; Gray, Bissouma, Sarr; Johnson, Richarlison, Son

Prediction

Aston Villa are unbeaten at home in 20 matches, and I believe they have every chance to extend that streak, especially given Tottenham's lack of motivation. Still, Spurs retain a potent attack, so I’d back over 3 total goals at odds of 1.59.

Prediction on game Total over 3
Odds: 1.59
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